Investing and capital allocation
An investment decision journal for entries and exits
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A decision journal preserves entry and exit reasoning using information available then. Record assumptions, unknowns, review criteria and revisions without rewriting history.
Once profit or loss is visible, it is easy to rewrite earlier reasoning to fit the outcome. A decision journal helps preserve what was known, what remained uncertain and why an option was accepted, rejected or deferred. It guarantees no good result and recommends no particular account.
Record decisions separately from outcomes
Process quality and final results are different. A carefully reviewed decision can lose money, while a rushed one can temporarily profit. The journal is not a device for justifying every result. It should make the reasoning and information available at the time reviewable. Preserve the original date and version.
What to record beforehand
- The purpose of the money, intended horizon and liquidity constraints.
- Information reviewed, with sources and dates.
- Key assumptions about the method, costs and exit route.
- Unknowns and unanswered questions.
- Reasons for selecting, rejecting or postponing the decision.
A hypothetical review criterion
Suppose a method is being considered because its horizon appears compatible with a financial plan. A journal can state that a changed method horizon or changed personal liquidity need should prompt review. This is not an automatic exit instruction or a recommended allocation amount. The example describes no real person or account.
Keep definitions with numbers
Record periods, currencies and calculation bases with returns, drawdowns and charges. Do not treat future estimates as observed history. Phrases such as low risk or easy withdrawal are inadequate for later review without definitions. If evidence is unavailable, record the uncertainty rather than inventing a sample number.
Use dates and event-based review triggers
A review may occur on a specified date or after a material change. Changes in management method, host terms or personal obligations can invalidate earlier assumptions. The purpose is not reacting to every short-term fluctuation. Criteria should fit the subject and be explainable. This article sets no universal review interval.
Add revisions instead of deleting history
When a view changes, append the new reason, evidence and date. Removing an unfavourable note weakens learning. Keeping account secrets or other people’s private information is unnecessary for this purpose. Retain the journal under restricted access and genuine need rather than on a public page.
Exits need reviewable reasons too
Ending cooperation may reflect changed needs, contractual constraints or weak information rather than only recent returns. Understand the contractual route, cost and access timing before action. Recording exit reasoning is not a request for an actual withdrawal here; no deposit or transfer is requested.
When browsing trading-account information, keep questions and answer sources alongside the decision. Calculation tools can assist hypothetical scenarios, not supply your reasoning for you. This educational framework does not replace independent consideration of personal circumstances.
Compare the track record, drawdown and costs of PAMM, MAM and copy-trading accounts, with the source and time of every figure.
Review and compare accounts Calculate scenarios and costsSubmit a verifiable track record so investors can review it against transparent criteria.
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